Girls basketball beat: State tournament predictions for each game

 The Mercy girls basketball team enjoys their SCC Championship trophy at the TD Bank Sports Center at Quinnipiac University in Hamden. The Tigers head into the Class LL tournament as one of the favorites.  (Arnold Gold-New Haven Register)

The Mercy girls basketball team enjoys their SCC Championship trophy at the TD Bank Sports Center at Quinnipiac University in Hamden. The Tigers head into the Class LL tournament as one of the favorites. (Arnold Gold-New Haven Register)

Class LL

Overview: Last season’s buzzer-beater by Maria Weselyj to lift Mercy over Lauralton Hall is a tough act to follow. However, a loaded class featuring a streaking Mercy, battle-tested Lauralton Hall, a Career team that seems to have found itself and three-time FCIAC champ Danbury could possibly make this year’s tournament even better.

First round: No. 16 Simsbury over No. 17 Hall; No. 8 Westhill over No. 25 New Milford; No. 9 Stamford Stamford over No. 24 Cheshire; No. 4 South Windsor over No. 29 Norwalk; No. 13 Greenwich over No. 20 Bristol Central; No. 5 Amity over No. 28 Darien; No. 12 Hand over No. 21 Southington; No. 18 Ridgefield over No. 15 Fairfield Ludlowe; No. 7 NFA over No. 26 Newtown; No. 10 E.O. Smith over No. 23 Newington; No. 3 Mercy over No. 30 Crosby; No. 19 Trumbull over No. 14 Fairfield Warde; No. 6 Career over No. 27 Glastonbury; No. 11 Nonnewaug over No. 22 Kennedy.

Second round: No. 1 Danbury over No. 16 Simsbury; No. 9 Stamford over No. 8 Westhill; No. 4 South Windsor over No. 13 Greenwich; No. 5 Amity over No. 12 Hand; No. 2 Lauralton Hall over No. 18 Ridgefield; No. 7 NFA over No. 10 E.O. Smith; No. 3 Mercy over No. 19 Trumbull; No. 6 Career over No. 11 Nonnewaug.

Quarterfinal: No. 1 Danbury over No. 9 Stamford; No. 5 Amity over No. 4 South Windsor; No. 2 Lauralton Hall over No. 7 E.O. Smith; No. 3 Mercy over No. 6 Career.

Semifinals: No. 1 Danbury over No. 5 Amity; No. 3 Mercy over No. 2 Lauralton Hall.

Final: No. 3 Mercy over No. 1 Danbury.

Class L

Overview: The game most fans want to see is Capital Prep against Weaver. They are two of the hottest teams in the class and the Trailblazers’ two point guards from last season, DeJane “Snoop” James and Shaquanna Edwards, left to Capital Prep to play at Weaver this season. The rest of the class could keep this meeting from happening.

First round: No. 17 East Lyme over No. 16 Middletown; No. 8 Bristol Eastern over No. 25 Windsor; No. 24 Sacred Heart Academy over No. 9 Watertown; No. 9 Ledyard over No. 24 East Haven; No. 13 Northwest Catholic over No. 20 Branford; No. 5 Avon over No. 28 Bethel; No. 12 RHAM over No. 21 Wetherfield; No. 15 New Fairfield over No. 18 Barlow; No. 7 Lyman Hall over No. 26 Guilford; No. 23 Sheehan over No. 10 Torrington; No. 14 Masuk over No. 19 Bacon Academy; No. 6 Wilton over No. 27 Naugatuck; No. 22 Hillhouse over No. 11 Pomperaug.

Second round: No. 1 Capital Prep over No. 17 East Lyme; No. 8 Bristol Eastern over No. 24 Sacred Heart Academy; No. 4 Ledyard over No. 13 Northwest Catholic; No. 12 RHAM over No. 5 Avon; No. 2 Farmington over No. 15 New Fairfield; No. 7 Lyman Hal over No. 23 Sheehan; No. 3 Weaver over No. 14 Masuk; No. 22 Hillhouse over No. 6 Wilton.

Quarterfinals: No. 1 Capital Prep over No. 8 Bristol Eastern; No. 4 Ledyard over No. 12 RHAM; No. 7 Lyman Hall over No. 2 Farmington; No. 3 Weaver over No. 22 Hillhouse.

Semifinal: No. 1 Capital Prep over No. 4 Ledyard; No. 3 Weaver over No. 7 Lyman Hall.

Final: No. 1 Capital Prep over No. 3 Weaver.

Class M

Overview: Cromwell enters the tournament with a winning streak and the Shoreline Conference title. However, Holy Cross, who has been in the Top 10, has an Naugatuck Valley League crown and could pose a major threat to the Panthers repeat hopes.

First round: No. 1 Holy Cross over No. 32 Wilcox Tech; No. 16 Wolcott over No. 17 Ellington; No. 8 Kolbe Cathedral over No. 25 Kaynor Tech; No. 9 Tolland over No. 24 Windsor Locks; No. 29 Windham over No. 4 Bullard Havens; No. 13 Northwestern over No. 20 East Catholic; No. 5 New London over No. 28 Montville; No. 12 Coginchaug over No. 21 Plainfield; No. 2 Cromwell over No. 31 Enfield; No. 15 Plainville over No. 18 Stonington; No. 7 Lewis Mills over No. 26 Waterford; No. 10 Haddam-Killingworth over No. 23 Old Saybrook; No. 30 Granby over No. 3 Prince Tech; No. 19 East Hampton over No. 14 St. Joseph; No. 6 Morgan over No. 27 Cheney Tech; No. 11 Suffield over No. 22 Rocky Hill.

Second round: No. 1 Holy Cross over No. 16 Wolcott; No. 8 Kolbe Cathedral over No. 9 Tolland; No. 13 Northwestern over No. 29 Windham; No. 5 New London over No. 21 Coginchaug; No. 2 Cromwell over No. 15 Plainville; No. 10 Haddam-Killingworth over No. 7 Lewis Mills; No. 19 East Hampton over No. 30 Granby; No. 6 Morgan over No. 11 Suffield.

Quarterfinals: No. 8 Kolbe over No. 1 Holy Cross; No. 5 New London over No. 13 Northwestern; No. 2 Cromwell over No. 10 Haddam-Killingworth; No. 6 Morgan over No. 19 East Hampton.

Semifinals: No. 5 New London over No. 8 Kolbe Cathedral; No. 2 Cromwell over No. 6 Morgan.

Final: No. 2 Cromwell over No. 5 New London.

Class S

Overview: No Capital Prep means a wide open field. St. Paul, Bolton and Thomaston highlight a class full of potential upsets and surprises.

First round: No. 17 Wolcott Tech over No. 16 Westbrook; No. 24 Lyman Memorial over No. 9 Classical; No. 20 Notre Dame-Fairfield over No. 13 Goodwin Tech; No. 12 Housatonic over No. 21 Putnam; No. 15 O’Brien Tech over No. 18 Holy Family; No. 23 Terryville over No. 10 Canton; No. 14 Old Lyme over No. 19 Parish Hill; No. 11 Immaculate over No. 22 Bloomfield.

Second round: No. 1 St. Paul over No. 17 Wolcott Tech; No. 8 Tourtellotte over No. 24 Lyman Memorial; No. 4 Bolton over No. 20 Notre Dame-Fairfield; No. 5 St. Bernard over No. 12 Housatonic; No. 2 Sacred Heart over No. 15 O’Brien Tech; No. 7 East Windsor over No. 23 Terryville; No. 3 Thomaston over No. 14 Old Lyme; No. 11 Immaculate over No. 6 Windham Tech.

Quarterfinals: No. 1 St. Paul over No. 8 Tourtellotte; No. 4 Bolton over No. 5 St. Bernard; No. 7 East Windsor over No. 2 Sacred Heart; No. 3 Thomaston over No. 11 Immaculate.

Semifinals: No. 4 Bolton over No. 1 St. Paul; 3 Thomaston over No. 7 East Windsor.

Final: No. 3 Thomaston over No. 4 Bolton.

Comments

  1. CCC Fan says

    Henry,

    Love the coverage and the passion you have for the sport. But the SCC over CCC bias is brutal.

    Remember last year how the CCC had FIVE teams in the semis or better and the SCC only had ONE.

    I think the league (CCC) is better at the top this year than last year and you only have ONE team making it this year…and THREE SCC teams.

    • CCC Fan says

      FYI I have five CCC teams in the semis again this year (East Catholic, Tolland, Farmington, South Windsor and of course Weaver).

      • Commenter says

        What SCC bias? I see Lyman Hall over Farmington and Amity over South Windsor. Both of those games can go either way, but I would take the CCC teams because they will be at home.

        What CCC team do you predict will make it to the final other than Weaver?

    • Fat Mike says

      Farmington might beat Lyman Hall. I don’t think So. Windsor’s press will shake up either Amity or Hand. Either one could beat them. They will be fortunate to get past Greenwich.
      Danbury is the best team in the state. Mercy can get knocked off in the second round. Bring your A game against Warde!

      • hchoops fan says

        true, warde is solid but they may not get past trumbull. After the first rd games any bad game can result in an upset. It’s as much mental prep than the x’s and o’s

        • hchoops fan says

          if mercy plays like they did in the scc finals, no one will touch them, they’ll win every game by double digits, of course that’s a big “if”

  2. Quadry says

    Word on the street is that there is drama going on at Career between coaches and players. Probably why they played so poorly in SCC championship game v Mercy. Should win first two, then done.

    • Brad Palmer says

      It’s HS sports; please leave out the “word on the street” gossip comments about coaches. Let the kids play, let the coaches coach!

  3. CCC Fan says

    In fact just did some research…CCC has had FIVE teams in the semis each of the last three years. Only one this year though…I guess.

    • CCC Fan says

      Hand now winning but it’s close. Southington the 6th most talented team in the CCC WEST division. (out of 8).

      • Fat Mike says

        CCC FAN, I don’t see your comment on the finish of the Hand game!
        Southington point is good and got to the paint for the 1st two and half quarters. Treadwell made the key move of inserting freshmen point Gabby Martin who proceeded to shut down the Southington point. Hand then ran Southington out of the gym winning by 20.

        • hshoopsfan says

          so hand was 5th in scc and blew out southington by 20, what does it tell you, not a whole lot! the fact of the matter is that over the past 5 yrs or so the scc has pretty much dominated LL, and in L, winning 9 titles in 13 yrs The scc doesnt play in M or S

          • Fat Mike says

            hshoopsfan,
            I don’t think it was a surprising win. I am tired of hearing the chirping from the CCC fans.

          • CCC Fan says

            Was absolutely not a surprising win. But neither were East over Northwestern or Rocky Hill over Suffield.

            I’ve seen Southington twice this year and they are OK (different team at home). They were the 6th best team in their 8 team league. The frosh PG is pretty good but can get overmatched with good defenders guarding her and I’m guessing that’s what happened.

  4. Paul says

    Please don’t sleep on Career they are a very good team and they have a lot of talent , they didn’t show up at the scc finals but if there coach is having problems with there players they better get it together Mercy will be there Lauralton hall will be there . Let’s get it together Career we will be waiting.

  5. CCC Fan says

    I stand corrected! SCC does look strong so far this tourney!

    Would’ve loved to see the game tonight…NWC can be very hot/cold. But props to Branford, nice game from them especially with two frosh leading the way.

  6. Branford Girls Fan says

    Branford played w/o one of their key starters. With her NW Catholic is planning for next year.

        • hoopfan says

          Excuses, Excuses! Sounds like a sore loser – if NWC didn’t have 2 players transfer (Loomis,Mercy) they win by 30. Congrats go out to NWC players and new coach – lost 3 senior starters ( 1 D-1) and two transfers and have almost the same record as last year! Who would have thought in November! Have a nice summer!

          • Branford Girls Fan says

            I’m talking about someone that’s played 19 of their 22 games. Not a point guard that has been out all year or losses to graduation or transfers. The new coaches for Branford and NW Catholic both did a nice job last night. NW Catholic won and deserved to win.
            My issue is with the overall arrogance of the CCC fans. I’ve seen 1/2 dozen of their playoff teams and can quickly sum it up for you. OVER RATED!

        • AnAthletic Supporter says

          @hoopfan and Branford Girl Fan. It was a great game last night @NWC and yes Branford was feeling the loss of their starter but kudos to the girls who did play a tough very physical game. No excuses both teams played great with who they had and put it all out there…including the two frosh for Branford.

    • hchoopsfan says

      the fciac is just as big with 19 teams. The scc has 19 girls teams, prep and nd and xavier of course dont have girls teams

      • hchoopsfan says

        actually the ccc is significantly bigger than both the scc or fciac by over 50%. The ccc has 32 teams vs 19 for the scc or fciac

          • hchoops fan says

            the top teams in state are going to be in LL or L. Very unlikelt any team from M or S would be one of top teams. Should there even be a class S? Only had like 20 teams in playoffs

          • Bmt says

            There’s gotta be a class s. those teams would not be able to compete in higher classes. They had 24 teams make the playoffs

  7. InTheKnow says

    Don’t embarrass yourselves. If you want to talk state championships, the SCC has 15 state champions in the last 17 years. And we don’t have a class S team, and very few M. You know SCC stands for “State ChampionConference”

    • Bmt says

      I’m with you. Though I also agree a bit with ccc fan. Ccc is deep. I think the SCC and ECC (NFA) are kind of top heavy.

  8. Vinnie says

    Both SEc and CCC have 21% of their Conference in Quarters. 7/32 for CCC and 4/19 for SEC. 2 best conferences in state!

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